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BTC price on Jul 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$53,500 or above99%
2
$55,000 or above99%
3
$60,000 or above99%
4
$60,750 or above99%
5
$54,000 or above98%
6
$54,250 or above98%
7
$55,250 or above98%
8
$55,500 or above98%
9
$55,750 or above98%
10
$56,000 or above98%
11
$56,250 or above98%
12
$56,500 or above98%
13
$56,750 or above98%
14
$57,000 or above98%
15
$57,250 or above98%
16
$57,500 or above98%
17
$57,750 or above98%
18
$58,000 or above98%
19
$58,250 or above98%
20
$58,500 or above98%
21
$58,750 or above98%
22
$59,000 or above98%
23
$59,250 or above98%
24
$59,500 or above98%
25
$59,750 or above98%
26
$60,250 or above98%
27
$60,500 or above98%
28
$61,000 or above98%
29
$61,250 or above98%
30
$61,500 or above98%
31
$62,500 or above98%
32
$62,750 or above98%
33
$61,750 or above97%
34
$62,000 or above97%
35
$62,250 or above97%
36
$63,000 or above97%
37
$63,500 or above97%
38
$63,250 or above96%
39
$63,750 or above94%
40
$64,000 or above87%
41
$64,250 or above77%
42
$64,500 or above63%
43
$64,750 or above44%
44
$65,000 or above29%
45
$65,250 or above16%
46
$65,500 or above7%
47
$65,750 or above5%
48
$66,000 or above3%
49
$66,250 or above3%
50
$66,500 or above3%
51
$68,000 or above3%
52
$66,750 or above2%
53
$67,000 or above2%
54
$67,250 or above2%
55
$67,500 or above2%
56
$67,750 or above2%
57
$68,250 or above2%
58
$68,500 or above2%
59
$68,750 or above2%
60
$69,000 or above2%
61
$69,250 or above2%
62
$69,500 or above2%
63
$69,750 or above2%
64
$70,000 or above2%
65
$70,250 or above2%
66
$70,500 or above1%
67
$70,750 or above1%
68
$71,000 or above1%
69
$71,250 or above1%
70
$71,500 or above1%
71
$71,750 or above1%
72
$72,000 or above1%
73
$72,250 or above1%
74
$72,500 or above1%
75
$72,750 or above1%
76
$73,000 or above1%
77
$73,250 or above1%
78
$53,750 or above0%
79
$54,500 or above0%
80
$54,750 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 4195%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $53,500 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26JUL1917">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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