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Odds boards / Economics

July 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesOne winner
▲3Biggest move: Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: 0.1% or below up to 19% recently.
1
Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2%▼227%
2
Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: 0.1% or below▲319%
3
Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: 0.1% or below14%
4
Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: Exactly 0.2%▼312%
5
Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%7%
6
Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
7
Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.3% or above▲36%
8
Headline: -0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below5%
9
Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: 0.3% or above▼23%
10
Headline: -0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%2%
11
Headline: -0.1% or below, Core: 0.3% or above▼11%
12
Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below▼21%
13
Headline: 0.3% or above, Core: 0.1% or below1%
14
Headline: 0.3% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%1%
15
Headline: 0.3% or above, Core: 0.3% or above1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 106%, a 6-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 20–29¢ have gone on to settle YES 27% of the time (n=144). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2% at 27¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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