What are the current odds for San Diego vs Kansas City: Hits + Runs + RBIs?

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ 82%, Jackson Merrill: 1+ 80%, Manny Machado: 1+ 76%, Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ 68%, Jackson Merrill: 2+ 63%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

San Diego vs Kansas City: Hits + Runs + RBIs

Live Kalshi odds · 25 outcomesMultiple can happen

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+82%

Jackson Merrill: 1+80%

Manny Machado: 1+76%

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+68%

Jackson Merrill: 2+63%

Vinnie Pasquantino: 2+52%

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 3+47%

Bobby Witt Jr.: 3+46%

Jackson Merrill: 3+43%

Manny Machado: 3+40%

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4+0%

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 5+0%

Jackson Merrill: 4+0%

Jackson Merrill: 5+0%

Vinnie Pasquantino: 1+0%

Vinnie Pasquantino: 3+0%

Vinnie Pasquantino: 4+0%

Vinnie Pasquantino: 5+0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 597%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

82¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

70¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

-10¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 69.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 82c. Based on 56 settled sports markets in the 80-89c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 76% of the time (n=104). The price implies 82%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ at 82¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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