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Natural gas price on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲29Biggest move: above $2.870 up to 72% recently.
1
above $2.850▲2080%
2
above $2.85576%
3
above $2.86072%
4
above $2.870▲2972%
5
above $2.865▲2370%
6
above $2.890▲1870%
7
above $2.88065%
8
above $2.90065%
9
above $2.87563%
10
above $2.88561%
11
above $2.89561%
12
above $2.905▲555%
13
above $2.91553%
14
above $2.91052%
15
above $2.92050%
16
above $2.92546%
17
above $2.93045%
18
above $2.94041%
19
above $2.93538%
20
above $2.955▲1335%
21
above $2.94534%
22
above $2.95031%
23
above $2.960▲630%
24
above $2.96527%
25
above $2.97022%
26
above $2.99516%
27
above $2.97515%
28
above $3.04014%
29
above $3.02010%
30
above $3.0157%
31
above $3.0306%
32
above $3.0504%
33
above $3.0453%
34
above $3.0803%
35
above $3.0853%
36
above $3.0903%
37
above $3.0953%
38
above $3.1453%
39
above $3.1302%
40
above $3.1352%
41
above $3.1402%
42
above $2.9800%
43
above $2.9850%
44
above $2.9900%
45
above $30%
46
above $3.0050%
47
above $3.0100%
48
above $3.0250%
49
above $3.0350%
50
above $3.0550%
51
above $3.0600%
52
above $3.0650%
53
above $3.0700%
54
above $3.0750%
55
above $3.1000%
56
above $3.1050%
57
above $3.1100%
58
above $3.1150%
59
above $3.1200%
60
above $3.1250%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1410%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 76% of the time (n=104). The price implies 80%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, above $2.850 at 80¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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