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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Live Kalshi odds · 22 outcomesOne winner
1
Todd Blanche81%
2
Lee Zeldin8%
3
Jeanine Pirro2%
4
Ron DeSantis▼12%
5
Matt Gaetz1%
6
Matt Whitaker1%
7
Jeff Jensen1%
8
Andrew Bailey1%
9
Mike Lee1%
10
Ken Paxton1%
11
Eric Schmitt1%
12
Harmeet Dhillon1%
13
Ted Cruz1%
14
Ashley Moody1%
15
Ed Martin1%
16
Yaakov Roth1%
17
Rudy Giuliani1%
18
Aileen Cannon0%
19
Jay Clayton0%
20
Alina Habba0%
21
Robert Giuffra0%
22
Jason Miyares0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 106%, a 6-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 76% of the time (n=104). The price implies 81%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Todd Blanche at 81¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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