Are Kalshi contracts Section 1256?

Updated June 1, 2026 · 6 min read

This is the question worth real money. If Kalshi event contracts qualify as Section 1256 contracts, your gains get the 60/40 long-term/short-term split: a meaningfully lower effective rate than ordinary income, no matter how briefly you held. So it's no surprise traders want the answer to be yes.

The honest answer is that it's unsettled, and treating it as a default is a mistake. Here's the case on both sides and what actually claiming the position involves.

What the 60/40 split would save you

Under Section 1256, 60% of your gain is taxed at long-term rates and 40% at short-term rates, regardless of holding period. For an active trader whose gains would otherwise be entirely short-term, that blend can shave a real chunk off the bill.

Section 1256 also allows net losses to be carried back up to three years against prior 1256 gains, a flexibility ordinary capital losses don't offer. Combined, those features are why the treatment is so attractive.

The case for

Section 1256 applies to certain instruments traded on regulated exchanges, and Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. That regulatory status is the necessary foundation for even considering the treatment, and it's why Kalshi is a stronger candidate than unregulated venues.

The case against

Regulation isn't sufficient on its own. The CFTC characterizes these binary event contracts as swaps, and the tax code contains an exclusion designed to keep swaps out of Section 1256 treatment. A binary, cash-settled contract on a yes/no outcome also doesn't sit comfortably within the categories Section 1256 was written for.

On top of that, the IRS has historically read the Section 1256 categories narrowly and has issued no guidance blessing event contracts. So the favorable treatment rests on an argument, not a settled rule, which is why many advisors treat ordinary income as the conservative default.

What claiming the position requires

If you and your advisor decide the position is supportable, it's reported on Form 6781, and many CPAs pair it with a Form 8275 disclosure to flag the aggressive stance and limit penalty exposure under examination. In practice it calls for strong factual support and a willingness to defend the position if questioned.

That's a real commitment, not a checkbox. It's the kind of decision to make deliberately with a professional, not because a calculator suggested it.

See the difference in dollars

ContractTax computes your result under Section 1256 and under the more conservative treatments from the same trade history, so the choice isn't abstract: you see exactly how many dollars the position is worth for your specific year. That makes the conversation with your CPA concrete: here's the upside, here's the exposure, here's the decision.

See your numbers under every treatment
ContractTax turns your Kalshi trade history into the figures behind this guide: ordinary, Section 1256, and gambling treatment, side by side, plus a full P&L breakdown.
Try ContractTax free →

Frequently asked

Are Kalshi contracts definitely Section 1256?
No. It is an unsettled, contested position. Kalshi's CFTC regulation supports considering it, but the swap classification and lack of IRS guidance cut against treating it as automatic.
What is the 60/40 rule?
Under Section 1256, 60% of gains are taxed at long-term rates and 40% at short-term rates regardless of holding period, which usually lowers the effective rate for active traders.
What form reports Section 1256 contracts?
Form 6781, which flows into Schedule D. An aggressive position is often accompanied by a Form 8275 disclosure.
Should I just claim Section 1256 to save money?
Not without professional advice. The treatment is contested for event contracts and claiming it requires factual support and a willingness to defend it. Model the difference, then decide with a CPA.
This guide is educational and is not tax, legal, or financial advice. The tax treatment of prediction-market contracts is unsettled and depends on your specific facts. Consult a qualified tax professional before taking a position on your return.
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