Settled markets / KXATPGSPREAD-26JUL12FELKEC-KEC4

Will Miomir Kecmanovic win at least 3.5 more games than Kilian Feldbausch?

SETTLED NOSportsJuly 13, 2026 at 8:31 AM EDT

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 51¢, making YES roughly a 51% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the NO side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 4 observations

Jul 13 · 51¢50¢Jul 13 · 11¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.