Settled markets / KXATPGSPREAD-26JUL13COLSKA-COL5

Will Raphael Collignon win at least 4.5 more games than Timofey Skatov?

SETTLED NOSportsJuly 13, 2026 at 11:41 AM EDT

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 52¢, making YES roughly a 52% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the NO side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 7 observations

Jul 13 · 52¢50¢Jul 13 · 1¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.