Settled markets / KXITFMATCH-26JUL13FARDEF-FAR

Will Francisco Faria win the Faria vs De Felipe Garcia: M15 Castelo Branco Round of 16 match?

SETTLED YESSportsJuly 13, 2026 at 9:10 AM EDT

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 40¢, making NO roughly a 60% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the YES side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 4 observations

Jul 13 · 40¢50¢Jul 13 · 72¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.