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Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 35 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼18Biggest move: Above 4.10 down to 24% recently.
1
Above 2.5099%
2
Above 2.6099%
3
Above 2.7099%
4
Above 2.8099%
5
Above 2.9099%
6
Above 3.0099%
7
Above 3.1099%
8
Above 3.2099%
9
Above 3.3099%
10
Above 3.5099%
11
Above 3.6099%
12
Above 3.70▲199%
13
Above 3.90▲299%
14
Above 3.4098%
15
Above 3.8098%
16
Above 4.0094%
17
Above 4.10▼1824%
18
Above 4.11▼415%
19
Above 4.13▼59%
20
Above 4.20▲89%
21
Above 4.14▼23%
22
Above 4.15▼23%
23
Above 4.16▲23%
24
Above 4.19▲23%
25
Above 4.30▲12%
26
Above 4.40▼12%
27
Above 4.502%
28
Above 4.602%
29
Above 4.802%
30
Above 4.12▼171%
31
Above 4.17▼41%
32
Above 4.18▼31%
33
Above 4.701%
34
Above 4.901%
35
Above 5.001%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1662%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 91% of the time (n=618). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 2.50 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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