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US gas prices this week

Live Kalshi odds · 18 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 3.80099%
2
Above 3.84099%
3
Above 3.86099%
4
Above 3.88099%
5
Above 3.90099%
6
Above 3.92099%
7
Above 3.94099%
8
Above 3.98099%
9
Above 3.96098%
10
Above 3.82097%
11
Above 4.00094%
12
Above 4.02092%
13
Above 4.04092%
14
Above 4.06089%
15
Above 4.08075%
16
Above 4.10044%
17
Above 4.14033%
18
Above 4.12028%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1534%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 84% of the time (n=129). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 15 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 3.800 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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