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US gas prices this week

Live Kalshi odds · 21 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 3.90099%
2
Above 3.92099%
3
Above 3.94099%
4
Above 3.96099%
5
Above 3.98099%
6
Above 4.00099%
7
Above 4.02096%
8
Above 4.04096%
9
Above 4.06092%
10
Above 4.08076%
11
Above 4.10071%
12
Above 4.12052%
13
Above 4.14026%
14
Above 4.16014%
15
Above 4.18010%
16
Above 4.2002%
17
Above 4.2201%
18
Above 4.2401%
19
Above 4.2601%
20
Above 4.2801%
21
Above 4.3001%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1134%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 91% of the time (n=548). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 3.900 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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