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BTC price on Aug 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$60,750 or above98%
2
$61,000 or above97%
3
$61,250 or above97%
4
$61,500 or above97%
5
$61,750 or above97%
6
$62,000 or above96%
7
$62,250 or above93%
8
$62,500 or above90%
9
$62,750 or above85%
10
$63,000 or above74%
11
$63,250 or above63%
12
$63,500 or above52%
13
$63,750 or above41%
14
$64,000 or above30%
15
$64,250 or above20%
16
$64,500 or above14%
17
$64,750 or above11%
18
$65,000 or above8%
19
$65,250 or above4%
20
$65,500 or above2%
21
$65,750 or above2%
22
$66,000 or above2%
23
$66,750 or above2%
24
$66,250 or above1%
25
$66,500 or above1%
26
$67,000 or above1%
27
$54,000 or above0%
28
$54,250 or above0%
29
$54,500 or above0%
30
$54,750 or above0%
31
$55,000 or above0%
32
$55,250 or above0%
33
$55,500 or above0%
34
$55,750 or above0%
35
$56,000 or above0%
36
$56,250 or above0%
37
$56,500 or above0%
38
$56,750 or above0%
39
$57,000 or above0%
40
$57,250 or above0%
41
$57,500 or above0%
42
$57,750 or above0%
43
$58,000 or above0%
44
$58,250 or above0%
45
$58,500 or above0%
46
$58,750 or above0%
47
$59,000 or above0%
48
$59,250 or above0%
49
$59,500 or above0%
50
$59,750 or above0%
51
$60,000 or above0%
52
$60,250 or above0%
53
$60,500 or above0%
54
$67,250 or above0%
55
$67,500 or above0%
56
$67,750 or above0%
57
$68,000 or above0%
58
$68,250 or above0%
59
$68,500 or above0%
60
$68,750 or above0%
61
$69,000 or above0%
62
$69,250 or above0%
63
$69,500 or above0%
64
$69,750 or above0%
65
$70,000 or above0%
66
$70,250 or above0%
67
$70,500 or above0%
68
$70,750 or above0%
69
$71,000 or above0%
70
$71,250 or above0%
71
$71,500 or above0%
72
$71,750 or above0%
73
$72,000 or above0%
74
$72,250 or above0%
75
$72,500 or above0%
76
$72,750 or above0%
77
$73,000 or above0%
78
$73,250 or above0%
79
$73,500 or above0%
80
$73,750 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1178%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 84% of the time (n=129). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 14 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $60,750 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26AUG1217">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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