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Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Aug 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼19Biggest move: $65,500 or above down to 22% recently.
1
$52,500 or above99%
2
$53,000 or above99%
3
$53,500 or above99%
4
$54,500 or above99%
5
$55,000 or above99%
6
$55,500 or above99%
7
$58,000 or above99%
8
$52,000 or above98%
9
$57,000 or above98%
10
$57,500 or above98%
11
$59,000 or above▲298%
12
$58,500 or above▲197%
13
$59,500 or above97%
14
$60,000 or above▲197%
15
$60,500 or above▲195%
16
$61,000 or above▼194%
17
$61,500 or above▼590%
18
$62,000 or above▼488%
19
$62,500 or above▼385%
20
$63,000 or above▼478%
21
$63,500 or above▼1070%
22
$64,000 or above▼1757%
23
$64,500 or above▼1844%
24
$65,000 or above▼1834%
25
$65,500 or above▼1922%
26
$66,000 or above▼1316%
27
$66,500 or above▼159%
28
$67,000 or above▼87%
29
$67,500 or above▼105%
30
$69,000 or above▼24%
31
$69,500 or above▼23%
32
$71,500 or above3%
33
$72,000 or above3%
34
$68,000 or above▼82%
35
$70,500 or above▼22%
36
$72,500 or above2%
37
$73,000 or above2%
38
$73,500 or above2%
39
$74,000 or above2%
40
$74,500 or above2%
41
$68,500 or above▼81%
42
$70,000 or above▼31%
43
$71,000 or above▼21%
44
$76,000 or above1%
45
$76,500 or above1%
46
$54,000 or above0%
47
$56,000 or above0%
48
$56,500 or above0%
49
$75,000 or above0%
50
$75,500 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2202%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 84% of the time (n=129). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 15 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $52,500 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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