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Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$50,500 or above99%
2
$51,000 or above99%
3
$55,000 or above98%
4
$55,500 or above98%
5
$57,500 or above98%
6
$58,000 or above98%
7
$56,500 or above97%
8
$57,000 or above97%
9
$58,500 or above97%
10
$59,000 or above95%
11
$59,500 or above94%
12
$60,000 or above91%
13
$60,500 or above85%
14
$61,000 or above81%
15
$61,500 or above75%
16
$62,000 or above70%
17
$62,500 or above58%
18
$63,000 or above51%
19
$63,500 or above40%
20
$64,000 or above32%
21
$64,500 or above23%
22
$65,000 or above16%
23
$65,500 or above10%
24
$66,000 or above6%
25
$66,500 or above5%
26
$67,000 or above2%
27
$67,500 or above2%
28
$68,000 or above1%
29
$69,000 or above1%
30
$70,000 or above1%
31
$70,500 or above1%
32
$71,000 or above1%
33
$72,500 or above1%
34
$73,000 or above1%
35
$73,500 or above1%
36
$50,000 or above0%
37
$51,500 or above0%
38
$52,000 or above0%
39
$52,500 or above0%
40
$53,000 or above0%
41
$53,500 or above0%
42
$54,000 or above0%
43
$54,500 or above0%
44
$56,000 or above0%
45
$68,500 or above0%
46
$69,500 or above0%
47
$71,500 or above0%
48
$72,000 or above0%
49
$74,000 or above0%
50
$74,500 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1725%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 87% of the time (n=238). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 12 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $50,500 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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