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BTC price on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$72,750 or above99%
2
$72,500 or above98%
3
$73,000 or above98%
4
$73,250 or above98%
5
$73,500 or above97%
6
$73,750 or above97%
7
$74,000 or above97%
8
$74,250 or above97%
9
$74,750 or above97%
10
$75,500 or above96%
11
$74,500 or above95%
12
$75,000 or above95%
13
$75,250 or above95%
14
$75,750 or above93%
15
$76,000 or above91%
16
$76,250 or above90%
17
$76,500 or above88%
18
$76,750 or above85%
19
$77,000 or above78%
20
$77,250 or above77%
21
$77,500 or above70%
22
$77,750 or above66%
23
$78,000 or above56%
24
$78,250 or above53%
25
$78,500 or above46%
26
$78,750 or above38%
27
$79,000 or above34%
28
$79,250 or above30%
29
$79,500 or above26%
30
$79,750 or above21%
31
$80,000 or above20%
32
$80,250 or above18%
33
$80,500 or above17%
34
$80,750 or above15%
35
$81,000 or above13%
36
$81,500 or above11%
37
$81,250 or above9%
38
$82,500 or above8%
39
$82,000 or above7%
40
$81,750 or above6%
41
$82,250 or above6%
42
$82,750 or above5%
43
$83,000 or above5%
44
$83,250 or above4%
45
$83,500 or above4%
46
$84,000 or above4%
47
$84,250 or above4%
48
$85,250 or above4%
49
$83,750 or above3%
50
$84,500 or above3%
51
$85,750 or above3%
52
$86,000 or above3%
53
$87,000 or above3%
54
$84,750 or above2%
55
$85,000 or above2%
56
$85,500 or above2%
57
$86,250 or above2%
58
$86,500 or above2%
59
$86,750 or above2%
60
$87,500 or above2%
61
$87,250 or above1%
62
$68,500 or above0%
63
$68,750 or above0%
64
$69,000 or above0%
65
$69,250 or above0%
66
$69,500 or above0%
67
$69,750 or above0%
68
$70,000 or above0%
69
$70,250 or above0%
70
$70,500 or above0%
71
$70,750 or above0%
72
$71,000 or above0%
73
$71,250 or above0%
74
$71,500 or above0%
75
$71,750 or above0%
76
$72,000 or above0%
77
$72,250 or above0%
78
$87,750 or above0%
79
$88,000 or above0%
80
$88,250 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2491%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 90% of the time (n=459). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 9 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $72,750 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26AUG2217">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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