Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Jul 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$52,500 or above99%
2
$52,750 or above99%
3
$53,000 or above99%
4
$53,250 or above99%
5
$53,500 or above99%
6
$53,750 or above99%
7
$54,000 or above99%
8
$54,250 or above99%
9
$54,500 or above99%
10
$54,750 or above99%
11
$55,000 or above99%
12
$55,250 or above99%
13
$55,500 or above99%
14
$55,750 or above99%
15
$56,000 or above99%
16
$56,250 or above99%
17
$56,500 or above99%
18
$56,750 or above99%
19
$57,000 or above99%
20
$57,250 or above99%
21
$57,500 or above99%
22
$57,750 or above99%
23
$58,000 or above99%
24
$59,000 or above99%
25
$59,750 or above99%
26
$60,000 or above99%
27
$60,250 or above99%
28
$60,500 or above99%
29
$62,000 or above99%
30
$62,250 or above99%
31
$58,250 or above98%
32
$58,500 or above98%
33
$58,750 or above98%
34
$59,250 or above98%
35
$59,500 or above98%
36
$61,000 or above98%
37
$61,250 or above98%
38
$61,750 or above98%
39
$62,750 or above98%
40
$63,000 or above98%
41
$63,500 or above98%
42
$60,750 or above97%
43
$61,500 or above97%
44
$62,500 or above97%
45
$63,250 or above97%
46
$63,750 or above87%
47
$64,000 or above64%
48
$64,250 or above28%
49
$64,500 or above9%
50
$70,500 or above5%
51
$64,750 or above4%
52
$69,250 or above4%
53
$69,500 or above4%
54
$69,750 or above4%
55
$71,000 or above4%
56
$66,250 or above3%
57
$67,250 or above3%
58
$65,000 or above2%
59
$65,250 or above2%
60
$65,500 or above2%
61
$65,750 or above2%
62
$66,000 or above2%
63
$66,500 or above2%
64
$66,750 or above2%
65
$67,000 or above2%
66
$67,750 or above2%
67
$68,000 or above2%
68
$68,250 or above2%
69
$68,750 or above2%
70
$70,000 or above2%
71
$70,250 or above2%
72
$70,750 or above2%
73
$71,250 or above2%
74
$71,500 or above2%
75
$71,750 or above2%
76
$67,500 or above1%
77
$68,500 or above1%
78
$69,000 or above1%
79
$72,250 or above1%
80
$72,000 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 4695%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $52,500 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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