Live odds / Crypto

Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?

$53,250 or above
99%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Crypto markets
BTC price up in next 15 mins?12%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?74%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?33%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?95%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?98%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXBTCD-26JUL1817-T53249.99" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXBTCD-26JUL1817-T53249.99">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.