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BTC price on Jul 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$54,000 or above99%
2
$61,000 or above99%
3
$61,500 or above99%
4
$62,250 or above99%
5
$62,500 or above99%
6
$62,750 or above99%
7
$63,500 or above99%
8
$64,000 or above99%
9
$60,000 or above98%
10
$62,000 or above98%
11
$63,000 or above98%
12
$63,750 or above98%
13
$64,250 or above98%
14
$64,500 or above98%
15
$64,750 or above98%
16
$65,000 or above98%
17
$63,250 or above97%
18
$65,250 or above97%
19
$65,500 or above96%
20
$65,750 or above93%
21
$66,000 or above85%
22
$66,250 or above77%
23
$66,500 or above66%
24
$66,750 or above47%
25
$67,000 or above31%
26
$67,250 or above17%
27
$67,500 or above10%
28
$67,750 or above5%
29
$68,000 or above5%
30
$68,250 or above3%
31
$68,500 or above3%
32
$69,250 or above3%
33
$69,000 or above2%
34
$69,500 or above2%
35
$68,750 or above1%
36
$69,750 or above1%
37
$70,000 or above1%
38
$70,250 or above1%
39
$71,250 or above1%
40
$73,750 or above1%
41
$54,250 or above0%
42
$54,500 or above0%
43
$54,750 or above0%
44
$55,000 or above0%
45
$55,250 or above0%
46
$55,500 or above0%
47
$55,750 or above0%
48
$56,000 or above0%
49
$56,250 or above0%
50
$56,500 or above0%
51
$56,750 or above0%
52
$57,000 or above0%
53
$57,250 or above0%
54
$57,500 or above0%
55
$57,750 or above0%
56
$58,000 or above0%
57
$58,250 or above0%
58
$58,500 or above0%
59
$58,750 or above0%
60
$59,000 or above0%
61
$59,250 or above0%
62
$59,500 or above0%
63
$59,750 or above0%
64
$60,250 or above0%
65
$60,500 or above0%
66
$60,750 or above0%
67
$61,250 or above0%
68
$61,750 or above0%
69
$70,500 or above0%
70
$70,750 or above0%
71
$71,000 or above0%
72
$71,500 or above0%
73
$71,750 or above0%
74
$72,000 or above0%
75
$72,250 or above0%
76
$72,500 or above0%
77
$72,750 or above0%
78
$73,000 or above0%
79
$73,250 or above0%
80
$73,500 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2321%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $54,000 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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