Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Jul 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$50,000 or above99%
2
$53,500 or above99%
3
$50,500 or above98%
4
$51,000 or above98%
5
$51,500 or above98%
6
$52,000 or above98%
7
$53,000 or above98%
8
$55,000 or above98%
9
$56,500 or above98%
10
$54,000 or above97%
11
$57,500 or above97%
12
$57,000 or above96%
13
$58,500 or above95%
14
$59,500 or above95%
15
$58,000 or above94%
16
$59,000 or above94%
17
$60,000 or above92%
18
$60,500 or above89%
19
$61,000 or above88%
20
$61,500 or above83%
21
$62,000 or above78%
22
$62,500 or above71%
23
$63,000 or above65%
24
$63,500 or above61%
25
$64,000 or above53%
26
$64,500 or above45%
27
$65,000 or above38%
28
$65,500 or above30%
29
$66,000 or above23%
30
$66,500 or above20%
31
$67,000 or above15%
32
$67,500 or above11%
33
$68,000 or above9%
34
$68,500 or above7%
35
$69,500 or above5%
36
$69,000 or above3%
37
$70,500 or above3%
38
$70,000 or above2%
39
$71,000 or above2%
40
$71,500 or above2%
41
$72,000 or above2%
42
$72,500 or above2%
43
$73,000 or above2%
44
$73,500 or above2%
45
$74,000 or above2%
46
$74,500 or above2%
47
$52,500 or above0%
48
$54,500 or above0%
49
$55,500 or above0%
50
$56,000 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2459%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $50,000 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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