What are the odds of "Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?"?

The live Kalshi market currently prices this at 77%, meaning traders collectively imply about a 77% chance of YES. Prices move continuously as new information arrives.

Where does this number come from?

It's the live price of the Kalshi event contract, which trades between 1 and 99 cents. A price of 60 cents implies a 60% chance. ContractTax reads the public market price and adds price history and context.

Live odds / Crypto

Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?

$62,500 or above

77%

implied chance of YES

Recorded price path

This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 77 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 75% of the time (n=118). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

See the full field for this event →

More live Crypto markets

Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?18%BTC price up in next 15 mins?72%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?50%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?86%Bitcoin price on Jul 18, 2026?96%

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Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.