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Omega European Masters Winner

Live Kalshi odds · 157 outcomesOne winner
1
Andres Gallegos67%
2
Niklas Nørgaard Møller10%
3
Nacho Elvira9%
4
Ryan Gerard9%
5
Marco Penge9%
6
Eddie Pepperell9%
7
Matt Wallace9%
8
John Daly II8%
9
Nicolai Højgaard8%
10
Martin Couvra7%
11
Miguel Ángel Jiménez7%
12
Patrick Reed7%
13
Davis Bryant6%
14
Daniel Gavins6%
15
Andreas Halvorsen6%
16
Angel Hidalgo6%
17
Daniel Hillier6%
18
Rasmus Højgaard6%
19
Thriston Lawrence6%
20
Adrian Meronk6%
21
Antoine Rozner6%
22
Adrien Saddier6%
23
Joe Dean5%
24
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra5%
25
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez3%
26
David Puig1%
27
Cameron Adam0%
28
Kiradech Aphibarnrat0%
29
Angel Ayora Fanegas0%
30
Sam Bairstow0%
31
Matthew Baldwin0%
32
Albin Bergstrom0%
33
Joshua Berry0%
34
Dan Bradbury0%
35
Jack Buchanan0%
36
Rafa Cabrera Bello0%
37
Jorge Campillo0%
38
Mischa Candinas0%
39
Ivan Cantero Gutierrez0%
40
Frankie Capan0%
41
Paul Casey0%
42
Filippo Celli0%
43
Clement Charmasson0%
44
Todd Clements0%
45
Ugo Coussaud0%
46
Sean Crocker0%
47
Jens Dantorp0%
48
Louis De Jager0%
49
Gregorio De Leo0%
50
Quentin Debove0%
51
Alejandro Del Rey0%
52
Thomas Detry0%
53
Wenyi Ding0%
54
Hennie Du Plessis0%
55
Manuel Elvira0%
56
Dylan Frittelli0%
57
Sergio Garcia0%
58
Nicola Gerhardsen0%
59
Joel Girrbach0%
60
Ricardo Gouveia0%
61
Oihan Guillamoundeguy0%
62
Jordan Gumberg0%
63
Harry Hall0%
64
Marcus Helligkilde0%
65
Calum Hill0%
66
Michael Hollick0%
67
Rikuya Hoshino0%
68
Casey Jarvis0%
69
Ryggs Johnston0%
70
Tobias Jonsson0%
71
Sadom Kaewkanjana0%
72
Kota Kaneko0%
73
Yuto Katsuragawa0%
74
Nathan Kimsey0%
75
Marcus Kinhult0%
76
Ronan Kleu0%
77
Jeong-Weon Ko0%
78
Jacques Kruyswijk0%
79
Joakim Lagergren0%
80
Romain Langasque0%
81
Francesco Laporta0%
82
Pablo Larrazábal0%
83
David Law0%
84
Kyoung-Hoon Lee0%
85
Junghwan Lee0%
86
Niklas Lemke0%
87
Alexander Levy0%
88
Hao-Tong Li0%
89
Mikael Lindberg0%
90
Luke List0%
91
Zander Lombard0%
92
Joost Luiten0%
93
Matteo Manassero0%
94
Stefano Mazzoli0%
95
David Micheluzzi0%
96
Guido Migliozzi0%
97
Edoardo Molinari0%
98
James Morrison0%
99
Félix Mory0%
100
Keita Nakajima0%
101
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
102
Adrian Otaegui0%
103
Renato Paratore0%
104
Jeremy Paul0%
105
Ryan Peake0%
106
Victor Perez0%
107
Yurav Premlall0%
108
Anthony Quayle0%
109
David Ravetto0%
110
Rocco Repetto Taylor0%
111
JC Ritchie0%
112
Brandon Robinson-Thompson0%
113
Daniel Rodrigues0%
114
Benjamin Rusch0%
115
Yuvraj Sandhu0%
116
Jayden Trey Schaper0%
117
Benjamin Schmidt0%
118
Marcel Schneider0%
119
Jason Scrivener0%
120
Jack Senior0%
121
Marcel Siem0%
122
Sebastian Soderberg0%
123
Maximilian Steinlechner0%
124
Ben Steinmann0%
125
Richard Sterne0%
126
Brandon Stone0%
127
Maximilien Sturdza0%
128
Jesper Svensson0%
129
Connor Syme0%
130
Hugo Townsend0%
131
Tom Vaillant0%
132
Darius Van Driel0%
133
Erik Van Rooyen0%
134
Daniel Van Tonder0%
135
Quim Vidal0%
136
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen0%
137
Euan Walker0%
138
Bernd Wiesberger0%
139
Danny Willett0%
140
Ashun Wu0%
141
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
142
Daniel Young0%
143
Yanhan Zhou0%
144
Adri Arnaus0%
145
Fred Biondi0%
146
Robert Foley0%
147
Benjamin Follett-Smith0%
148
Benjamin Hebert0%
149
Connor McKinney0%
150
Yannik Paul0%
151
Tapio Pulkkanen0%
152
Shubhankar Sharma0%
153
Callum Tarren0%
154
Mike Toorop0%
155
Robin Williams0%
156
Jack Yule0%
157
Fabrizio Zanotti0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 233%, a 133-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
67¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
55¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-10¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 54.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 67c. Based on 124 settled other markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 6069¢ have gone on to settle YES 63% of the time (n=1,323). The price implies 67%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Andres Gallegos at 67¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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