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Gold price on August 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
67Biggest move: Above $4648 up to 96% recently.
1
Above $4398199%
2
Above $448899%
3
Above $449899%
4
Above $4538799%
5
Above $45481099%
6
Above $45581299%
7
Above $45681799%
8
Above $45782499%
9
Above $45883399%
10
Above $46185199%
11
Above $46285999%
12
Above $4418198%
13
Above $46084198%
14
Above $4478297%
15
Above $450897%
16
Above $4528397%
17
Above $46386297%
18
Above $442896%
19
Above $4518196%
20
Above $45983696%
21
Above $46486796%
22
Above $44081188%
23
Above $446888%
24
Above $4708612%
25
Above $4718512%
26
Above $4728612%
27
Above $47685%
28
Above $4658194%
29
Above $4678104%
30
Above $469864%
31
Above $473814%
32
Above $474814%
33
Above $475814%
34
Above $478814%
35
Above $4668173%
36
Above $468892%
37
Above $477831%
38
Above $44380%
39
Above $44480%
40
Above $44580%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2308%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 91% of the time (n=548). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $4398 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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