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Gold price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼46Biggest move: Above $4406 down to 28% recently.
1
Above $424699%
2
Above $425699%
3
Above $426699%
4
Above $427699%
5
Above $428699%
6
Above $423696%
7
Above $429695%
8
Above $430693%
9
Above $432690%
10
Above $431688%
11
Above $433685%
12
Above $434681%
13
Above $435667%
14
Above $436664%
15
Above $4376▼2661%
16
Above $4386▼2952%
17
Above $4396▼3938%
18
Above $4406▼4628%
19
Above $441619%
20
Above $442615%
21
Above $446611%
22
Above $4476▼1411%
23
Above $4506▼69%
24
Above $44368%
25
Above $44467%
26
Above $45166%
27
Above $44565%
28
Above $4486▼165%
29
Above $4496▼124%
30
Above $45464%
31
Above $45262%
32
Above $45362%
33
Above $45562%
34
Above $45662%
35
Above $45762%
36
Above $45862%
37
Above $45962%
38
Above $46062%
39
Above $46162%
40
Above $46262%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1557%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $4246 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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