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Odds boards / Entertainment

Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

Live Kalshi odds · 14 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼3Biggest move: Mo Bamba down to 25% recently.
1
Pepas40%
2
Look at Me!▲233%
3
Rockstar31%
4
Mask Off30%
5
Sicko Mode27%
6
Despacito25%
7
Mo Bamba▼325%
8
God’s Plan25%
9
Blinding Lights▼323%
10
As It Was▼323%
11
Bad and Boujee23%
12
XO Tour Llif323%
13
Stay22%
14
Shape of You19%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 369%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
40¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
43¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 42.9% of the time, and the crowd is charging 40c. Based on 2,276 settled markets across all categories in the 40-49c band (we do not yet hold enough entertainment history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the entertainment curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 40–49¢ have gone on to settle YES 43% of the time (n=2,276). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Pepas at 40¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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