Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 105%, a 5-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 78% of the time (n=123). The price implies 89%, so historically this band has come in about 11 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 88° or below at 89¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXHIGHNY-26AUG11" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 11, 2026? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXHIGHNY-26AUG11">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.