What are the current odds for S&P price range on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT??

7,725 to 7,749.9999 74%, 7,700 to 7,724.9999 15%, 7,750 to 7,774.9999 12%, 7,675 to 7,699.9999 8%, 7,775 to 7,799.9999 4%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

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S&P price range on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesOne winner

7,725 to 7,749.999974%

7,700 to 7,724.999915%

7,750 to 7,774.999912%

7,675 to 7,699.99998%

7,775 to 7,799.99994%

7,825 to 7,849.99994%

7,625 to 7,649.99993%

7,650 to 7,674.99993%

7,800 to 7,824.99991%

7,399.9999 or below0%

7,400 to 7,424.99990%

7,425 to 7,449.99990%

7,450 to 7,474.99990%

7,475 to 7,499.99990%

7,500 to 7,524.99990%

7,525 to 7,549.99990%

7,550 to 7,574.99990%

7,575 to 7,599.99990%

7,600 to 7,624.99990%

7,850 to 7,874.99990%

7,875 to 7,899.99990%

7,900 to 7,924.99990%

7,925 to 7,949.99990%

7,950 to 7,974.99990%

7,975 to 7,999.99990%

8,000 to 8,024.99990%

8,025 to 8,049.99990%

8,050 to 8,074.99990%

8,075 to 8,099.99990%

8,100 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 124%, a 24-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

74¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

75¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 75.3% of the time against a 74c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 150 settled markets across all categories in the 70-79c band (we do not yet hold enough other history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence).

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 75% of the time (n=150). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 7,725 to 7,749.9999 at 74¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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