What are the current odds for S&P price range on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT??

7,775 to 7,799.9999 89%, 7,800 to 7,824.9999 11%, 7,675 to 7,699.9999 1%, 7,700 to 7,724.9999 1%, 7,725 to 7,749.9999 1%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

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S&P price range on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesOne winner

7,775 to 7,799.999989%

7,800 to 7,824.999911%

7,675 to 7,699.99991%

7,700 to 7,724.99991%

7,725 to 7,749.99991%

7,750 to 7,774.99991%

7,825 to 7,849.99991%

7,850 to 7,874.99991%

7,374.9999 or below0%

7,375 to 7,399.99990%

7,400 to 7,424.99990%

7,425 to 7,449.99990%

7,450 to 7,474.99990%

7,475 to 7,499.99990%

7,500 to 7,524.99990%

7,525 to 7,549.99990%

7,550 to 7,574.99990%

7,575 to 7,599.99990%

7,600 to 7,624.99990%

7,625 to 7,649.99990%

7,650 to 7,674.99990%

7,875 to 7,899.99990%

7,900 to 7,924.99990%

7,925 to 7,949.99990%

7,950 to 7,974.99990%

7,975 to 7,999.99990%

8,000 to 8,024.99990%

8,025 to 8,049.99990%

8,050 to 8,074.99990%

8,075 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 106%, a 6-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

89¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

81¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-7¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 80.5% of the time, and the crowd is charging 89c. Based on 190 settled markets across all categories in the 80-89c band (we do not yet hold enough other history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 81% of the time (n=190). The price implies 89%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 7,775 to 7,799.9999 at 89¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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