What are the current odds for S&P price range on Jul 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT??

7,500 to 7,524.9999 96%, 7,475 to 7,499.9999 4%, 7,525 to 7,549.9999 2%, 7,575 to 7,599.9999 2%, 7,074.9999 or below 1%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

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S&P price range on Jul 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesOne winner

7,500 to 7,524.999996%

7,475 to 7,499.99994%

7,525 to 7,549.99992%

7,575 to 7,599.99992%

7,074.9999 or below1%

7,075 to 7,099.99991%

7,375 to 7,399.99991%

7,400 to 7,424.99991%

7,425 to 7,449.99991%

7,450 to 7,474.99991%

7,550 to 7,574.99991%

7,100 to 7,124.99990%

7,125 to 7,149.99990%

7,150 to 7,174.99990%

7,175 to 7,199.99990%

7,200 to 7,224.99990%

7,225 to 7,249.99990%

7,250 to 7,274.99990%

7,275 to 7,299.99990%

7,300 to 7,324.99990%

7,325 to 7,349.99990%

7,350 to 7,374.99990%

7,600 to 7,624.99990%

7,625 to 7,649.99990%

7,650 to 7,674.99990%

7,675 to 7,699.99990%

7,700 to 7,724.99990%

7,725 to 7,749.99990%

7,750 to 7,774.99990%

7,775 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 111%, a 11-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 96%, so historically this band has come in about 16 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 7,500 to 7,524.9999 at 96¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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