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S&P price on Aug 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,625 or above99%
2
7,650 or above99%
3
7,645 or above98%
4
7,655 or above98%
5
7,660 or above98%
6
7,640 or above97%
7
7,665 or above97%
8
7,670 or above96%
9
7,675 or above95%
10
7,630 or above94%
11
7,635 or above93%
12
7,680 or above92%
13
7,685 or above91%
14
7,690 or above86%
15
7,695 or above76%
16
7,700 or above48%
17
7,705 or above32%
18
7,900 or above27%
19
7,710 or above19%
20
7,715 or above10%
21
7,720 or above5%
22
7,725 or above3%
23
7,730 or above2%
24
7,770 or above2%
25
7,735 or above1%
26
7,740 or above1%
27
7,745 or above1%
28
7,750 or above1%
29
7,755 or above1%
30
7,760 or above1%
31
7,765 or above1%
32
7,775 or above1%
33
7,780 or above1%
34
7,785 or above1%
35
7,790 or above1%
36
7,795 or above1%
37
7,800 or above1%
38
7,805 or above1%
39
7,810 or above1%
40
7,815 or above1%
41
7,820 or above1%
42
7,825 or above1%
43
7,830 or above1%
44
7,835 or above1%
45
7,860 or above1%
46
7,890 or above1%
47
7,920 or above1%
48
7,840 or above0%
49
7,845 or above0%
50
7,850 or above0%
51
7,855 or above0%
52
7,865 or above0%
53
7,870 or above0%
54
7,875 or above0%
55
7,880 or above0%
56
7,885 or above0%
57
7,895 or above0%
58
7,905 or above0%
59
7,910 or above0%
60
7,915 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1580%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 89% of the time (n=346). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 10 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,625 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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