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S&P price on Aug 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 70 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,550 or above99%
2
7,555 or above99%
3
7,565 or above99%
4
7,570 or above99%
5
7,575 or above99%
6
7,580 or above99%
7
7,585 or above99%
8
7,600 or above99%
9
7,605 or above99%
10
7,610 or above99%
11
7,615 or above99%
12
7,625 or above99%
13
7,595 or above98%
14
7,620 or above97%
15
7,630 or above97%
16
7,635 or above97%
17
7,640 or above96%
18
7,645 or above95%
19
7,845 or above95%
20
7,650 or above94%
21
7,655 or above93%
22
7,590 or above90%
23
7,660 or above87%
24
7,665 or above84%
25
7,670 or above76%
26
7,675 or above68%
27
7,680 or above59%
28
7,685 or above47%
29
7,690 or above38%
30
7,695 or above26%
31
7,700 or above16%
32
7,705 or above9%
33
7,720 or above9%
34
7,715 or above7%
35
7,710 or above4%
36
7,765 or above2%
37
7,725 or above1%
38
7,730 or above1%
39
7,735 or above1%
40
7,740 or above1%
41
7,745 or above1%
42
7,750 or above1%
43
7,560 or above0%
44
7,755 or above0%
45
7,760 or above0%
46
7,770 or above0%
47
7,775 or above0%
48
7,780 or above0%
49
7,785 or above0%
50
7,790 or above0%
51
7,795 or above0%
52
7,800 or above0%
53
7,805 or above0%
54
7,810 or above0%
55
7,815 or above0%
56
7,820 or above0%
57
7,825 or above0%
58
7,830 or above0%
59
7,835 or above0%
60
7,840 or above0%
61
7,850 or above0%
62
7,855 or above0%
63
7,860 or above0%
64
7,865 or above0%
65
7,870 or above0%
66
7,875 or above0%
67
7,880 or above0%
68
7,885 or above0%
69
7,890 or above0%
70
7,895 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2678%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 90% of the time (n=459). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 9 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,550 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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