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S&P price on Aug 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼46Biggest move: 7,670 or above down to 10% recently.
1
7,585 or above99%
2
7,600 or above99%
3
7,570 or above98%
4
7,575 or above98%
5
7,595 or above97%
6
7,605 or above96%
7
7,610 or above93%
8
7,625 or above89%
9
7,510 or above85%
10
7,635 or above▲384%
11
7,620 or above83%
12
7,630 or above79%
13
7,640 or above▼2062%
14
7,645 or above54%
15
7,650 or above45%
16
7,655 or above▼3039%
17
7,660 or above▼4225%
18
7,665 or above23%
19
7,670 or above▼4610%
20
7,675 or above▼335%
21
7,680 or above▼464%
22
7,695 or above4%
23
7,685 or above3%
24
7,690 or above2%
25
7,755 or above2%
26
7,760 or above2%
27
7,700 or above1%
28
7,705 or above1%
29
7,710 or above▼201%
30
7,715 or above1%
31
7,720 or above1%
32
7,725 or above1%
33
7,730 or above1%
34
7,735 or above1%
35
7,740 or above1%
36
7,745 or above1%
37
7,750 or above1%
38
7,765 or above1%
39
7,770 or above1%
40
7,475 or above0%
41
7,480 or above0%
42
7,485 or above0%
43
7,490 or above0%
44
7,495 or above0%
45
7,500 or above0%
46
7,505 or above0%
47
7,515 or above0%
48
7,520 or above0%
49
7,525 or above0%
50
7,530 or above0%
51
7,535 or above0%
52
7,540 or above0%
53
7,545 or above0%
54
7,550 or above0%
55
7,555 or above0%
56
7,560 or above0%
57
7,565 or above0%
58
7,580 or above0%
59
7,590 or above0%
60
7,615 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1393%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 91% of the time (n=548). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,585 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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