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S&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,640 or above99%
2
7,645 or above99%
3
7,605 or above98%
4
7,610 or above98%
5
7,650 or above98%
6
7,625 or above97%
7
7,655 or above95%
8
7,630 or above93%
9
7,635 or above90%
10
7,620 or above87%
11
7,660 or above83%
12
7,665 or above58%
13
7,670 or above36%
14
7,675 or above14%
15
7,680 or above7%
16
7,685 or above3%
17
7,690 or above2%
18
7,700 or above2%
19
7,750 or above2%
20
7,695 or above1%
21
7,705 or above1%
22
7,710 or above1%
23
7,715 or above1%
24
7,720 or above1%
25
7,725 or above1%
26
7,730 or above1%
27
7,735 or above1%
28
7,740 or above1%
29
7,745 or above1%
30
7,770 or above1%
31
7,775 or above1%
32
7,790 or above1%
33
7,500 or above0%
34
7,505 or above0%
35
7,510 or above0%
36
7,515 or above0%
37
7,520 or above0%
38
7,525 or above0%
39
7,530 or above0%
40
7,535 or above0%
41
7,540 or above0%
42
7,545 or above0%
43
7,550 or above0%
44
7,555 or above0%
45
7,560 or above0%
46
7,565 or above0%
47
7,570 or above0%
48
7,575 or above0%
49
7,580 or above0%
50
7,585 or above0%
51
7,590 or above0%
52
7,595 or above0%
53
7,600 or above0%
54
7,615 or above0%
55
7,755 or above0%
56
7,760 or above0%
57
7,765 or above0%
58
7,780 or above0%
59
7,785 or above0%
60
7,795 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1174%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 91% of the time (n=584). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,640 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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