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S&P price on Jul 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,275 or above99%
2
7,280 or above99%
3
7,285 or above99%
4
7,345 or above99%
5
7,350 or above99%
6
7,375 or above99%
7
7,430 or above99%
8
7,465 or above99%
9
7,410 or above98%
10
7,435 or above98%
11
7,480 or above98%
12
7,490 or above98%
13
7,385 or above97%
14
7,475 or above97%
15
7,485 or above97%
16
7,415 or above96%
17
7,495 or above96%
18
7,395 or above95%
19
7,405 or above94%
20
7,450 or above94%
21
7,455 or above93%
22
7,470 or above93%
23
7,420 or above91%
24
7,460 or above91%
25
7,500 or above89%
26
7,425 or above88%
27
7,505 or above85%
28
7,440 or above81%
29
7,445 or above81%
30
7,510 or above76%
31
7,515 or above63%
32
7,520 or above53%
33
7,525 or above35%
34
7,530 or above25%
35
7,535 or above10%
36
7,540 or above6%
37
7,550 or above4%
38
7,545 or above3%
39
7,555 or above2%
40
7,565 or above2%
41
7,560 or above1%
42
7,570 or above1%
43
7,290 or above0%
44
7,295 or above0%
45
7,300 or above0%
46
7,305 or above0%
47
7,310 or above0%
48
7,315 or above0%
49
7,320 or above0%
50
7,325 or above0%
51
7,330 or above0%
52
7,335 or above0%
53
7,340 or above0%
54
7,355 or above0%
55
7,360 or above0%
56
7,365 or above0%
57
7,370 or above0%
58
7,380 or above0%
59
7,390 or above0%
60
7,400 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3023%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,275 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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