What are the current odds for Albertsons Boise Open presented by Chevron Winner?

Ben Kohles 9%, Zac Blair 6%, Thomas Rosenmueller 6%, Ross Steelman 6%, Michael Johnson 5%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Other

Albertsons Boise Open presented by Chevron Winner

Live Kalshi odds · 163 outcomesOne winner

▲3Biggest move: Michael Johnson up to 5% recently.

Ben Kohles▲19%

Zac Blair▲26%

Thomas Rosenmueller▲26%

Alistair Docherty▼23%

Cristobal Del Solar2%

John Marshall Butler0%

Jorge Fernandez-Valdes0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 172%, a 72-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

9¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

7¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-1¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 6.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 9c. Based on 74 settled other markets in the 0-9c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 12% of the time (n=256). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Ben Kohles at 9¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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