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LIV Golf United Kingdom Champion?

Live Kalshi odds · 59 outcomesOne winner
8Biggest move: Bubba Watson down to 1% recently.
1
Jon Rahm321%
2
Bryson DeChambeau12%
3
Joaquin Niemann110%
4
Tyrrell Hatton47%
5
Dean Burmester4%
6
Lucas Herbert14%
7
Victor Perez14%
8
David Puig14%
9
Thomas Detry13%
10
Talor Gooch13%
11
Tom McKibbin13%
12
Cameron Smith23%
13
Abraham Ancer2%
14
Josele Ballester12%
15
Laurie Canter2%
16
Branden Grace12%
17
Charles Howell III12%
18
Dustin Johnson12%
19
Marc Leishman2%
20
Carlos Ortiz2%
21
Byeong Hun An1%
22
Yosuke Asaji1%
23
Ben Campbell1%
24
Sergio Garcia1%
25
Martin Kaymer1%
26
Anthony Kim1%
27
Michael La Sasso1%
28
Anirban Lahiri1%
29
Danny Lee1%
30
Adrian Meronk1%
31
Sebastian Munoz1%
32
Thomas Pieters1%
33
Ian Poulter1%
34
Younghan Song1%
35
Brendan Steele1%
36
Harold Varner III1%
37
Scott Vincent1%
38
Bubba Watson81%
39
Matthew Wolff1%
40
Travis Smyth1%
41
Martin Vorster1%
42
Richard Bland0%
43
Paul Casey0%
44
Bjorn Hellgren0%
45
Sam Horsfield0%
46
Minkyu Kim0%
47
Jason Kokrak0%
48
Richard T. Lee0%
49
Luis Masaveu0%
50
Graeme McDowell0%
51
Doyeob Mun0%
52
Louis Oosthuizen0%
53
Charl Schwartzel0%
54
Elvis Smylie0%
55
Caleb Surratt0%
56
Miguel Tabuena0%
57
Cameron Tringale0%
58
Peter Uihlein0%
59
Lee Westwood0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 115%, a 15-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 2029¢ have gone on to settle YES 27% of the time (n=144). The price implies 21%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Jon Rahm at 21¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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