What are the current odds for Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?

Pete Alonso: 1+ 20%, Junior Caminero: 1+ 20%, Tyler O'Neill: 1+ 17%, Coby Mayo: 1+ 16%, Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 1+ 15%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen

Pete Alonso: 1+20%

Junior Caminero: 1+20%

Tyler O'Neill: 1+17%

Coby Mayo: 1+16%

Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 1+15%

Gunnar Henderson: 1+14%

Jonathan Aranda: 1+13%

Victor Mesa: 1+13%

Cedric Mullins: 1+12%

Colton Cowser: 1+10%

Yandy Díaz: 1+10%

Carlos Narváez: 1+9%

Jackson Holliday: 1+9%

Liam Hicks: 1+9%

Leody Taveras: 1+8%

Richie Palacios: 1+6%

Taylor Walls: 1+6%

Pete Alonso: 2+3%

Chandler Simpson: 1+3%

Jonathan Aranda: 2+2%

Junior Caminero: 2+1%

Carlos Narváez: 2+1%

Jackson Holliday: 2+1%

Leody Taveras: 2+1%

Liam Hicks: 2+1%

Yandy Díaz: 2+1%

Gunnar Henderson: 2+0%

Cedric Mullins: 2+0%

Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 2+0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 221%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

20¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

22¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 22.2% of the time against a 20c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 288 settled sports markets in the 20-29c band, priced about a day before their events.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 20–29¢ have gone on to settle YES 24% of the time (n=416). The price implies 20%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Pete Alonso: 1+ at 20¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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