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Chicago WS vs Chicago C: Home Runs

Live Kalshi odds · 35 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+99%
2
Michael Busch: 1+99%
3
Munetaka Murakami: 1+99%
4
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+9%
5
Ian Happ: 2+8%
6
Andrew Benintendi: 1+7%
7
Seiya Suzuki: 2+7%
8
Andrew Benintendi: 2+2%
9
Braden Montgomery: 1+2%
10
Chase Meidroth: 1+2%
11
Colson Montgomery: 2+2%
12
Drew Romo: 1+2%
13
Miguel Vargas: 2+2%
14
Nico Hoerner: 1+2%
15
Pedro Ramirez: 1+2%
16
Sam Antonacci: 1+2%
17
Tristan Peters: 1+2%
18
Alex Bregman: 1+1%
19
Alex Bregman: 2+1%
20
Braden Montgomery: 2+1%
21
Chase Meidroth: 2+1%
22
Colson Montgomery: 1+1%
23
Drew Romo: 2+1%
24
Ian Happ: 1+1%
25
Michael Busch: 2+1%
26
Michael Conforto: 1+1%
27
Miguel Amaya: 1+1%
28
Miguel Vargas: 1+1%
29
Munetaka Murakami: 2+1%
30
Pedro Ramirez: 2+1%
31
Sam Antonacci: 2+1%
32
Seiya Suzuki: 1+1%
33
Tristan Peters: 2+1%
34
Michael Conforto: 2+0%
35
Miguel Amaya: 2+0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 364%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 89% of the time (n=346). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 10 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+ at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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