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New York M vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs

Live Kalshi odds · 35 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Francisco Lindor: 1+99%
2
Yandy Díaz: 1+99%
3
Juan Soto: 1+12%
4
Jonathan Aranda: 1+9%
5
Jared Young: 1+4%
6
Victor Mesa: 1+4%
7
Bo Bichette: 1+3%
8
Carson Benge: 1+3%
9
Francisco Lindor: 2+3%
10
Juan Soto: 2+3%
11
Junior Caminero: 1+3%
12
Junior Caminero: 2+3%
13
Yandy Díaz: 2+3%
14
A.J. Ewing: 1+3%
15
Jonny DeLuca: 1+3%
16
Jorge Mateo: 1+3%
17
Carson Benge: 2+2%
18
Francisco Alvarez: 1+2%
19
Nick Fortes: 1+2%
20
Ryan Vilade: 1+2%
21
Taylor Walls: 1+2%
22
Bo Bichette: 2+1%
23
Jonathan Aranda: 2+1%
24
Brett Baty: 1+1%
25
Brett Baty: 2+1%
26
Chandler Simpson: 1+1%
27
Nick Fortes: 2+1%
28
Nick Morabito: 1+1%
29
Ryan Vilade: 2+1%
30
Francisco Alvarez: 2+0%
31
Jared Young: 2+0%
32
Jonny DeLuca: 2+0%
33
Jorge Mateo: 2+0%
34
Nick Morabito: 2+0%
35
Victor Mesa: 2+0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 275%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Francisco Lindor: 1+ at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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