Odds boards / Sports

St. Louis vs Colorado: Total Runs

Live Kalshi odds · 11 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Over 5.5 runs scored90%
2
Over 6.5 runs scored86%
3
Over 7.5 runs scored78%
4
Over 8.5 runs scored72%
5
Over 9.5 runs scored63%
6
Over 10.5 runs scored55%
7
Over 11.5 runs scored44%
8
Over 12.5 runs scored39%
9
Over 13.5 runs scored33%
10
Over 14.5 runs scored27%
11
Over 15.5 runs scored22%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 609%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
90¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
93¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
+2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 93.1% of the time, and the crowd is charging 90c. Based on 552 settled sports markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Over 5.5 runs scored at 90¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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