What are the current odds for Nasdaq-100 price range on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT??

29,600 to 29,699.99 34%, 29,700 to 29,799.99 25%, 29,500 to 29,599.99 20%, 29,900 to 29,999.99 13%, 29,800 to 29,899.99 6%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price range on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesOne winner

29,600 to 29,699.9934%

29,700 to 29,799.9925%

29,500 to 29,599.9920%

29,900 to 29,999.9913%

29,800 to 29,899.996%

28,299.99 or below0%

28,300 to 28,399.990%

28,400 to 28,499.990%

28,500 to 28,599.990%

28,600 to 28,699.990%

28,700 to 28,799.990%

28,800 to 28,899.990%

28,900 to 28,999.990%

29,000 to 29,099.990%

29,100 to 29,199.990%

29,200 to 29,299.990%

29,300 to 29,399.990%

29,400 to 29,499.990%

30,000 to 30,099.990%

30,100 to 30,199.990%

30,200 to 30,299.990%

30,300 to 30,399.990%

30,400 to 30,499.990%

30,500 to 30,599.990%

30,600 to 30,699.990%

30,700 to 30,799.990%

30,800 to 30,899.990%

30,900 to 30,999.990%

31,000 to 31,099.990%

31,100 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 98%, a 2-point underround. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

34¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

34¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 33.8% of the time against a 34c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 234 settled markets across all categories in the 30-39c band (we do not yet hold enough economics history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence).

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the economics curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 30–39¢ have gone on to settle YES 34% of the time (n=234). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 29,600 to 29,699.99 at 34¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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