Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 400 outcomesMultiple can happen

29,340 or above97%

29,150 or above96%

29,300 or above92%

29,380 or above84%

29,390 or above83%

29,400 or above82%

29,410 or above81%

29,420 or above80%

29,460 or above80%

29,470 or above80%

29,480 or above80%

29,490 or above80%

29,500 or above80%

29,510 or above80%

29,520 or above80%

29,430 or above78%

29,440 or above78%

29,570 or above77%

29,450 or above76%

29,580 or above76%

29,540 or above68%

29,530 or above65%

29,560 or above65%

29,590 or above63%

29,610 or above63%

29,550 or above61%

29,630 or above61%

29,620 or above57%

29,600 or above54%

29,710 or above54%

29,660 or above52%

29,680 or above52%

29,670 or above51%

29,700 or above51%

29,720 or above50%

29,650 or above49%

29,730 or above49%

29,640 or above48%

29,740 or above48%

29,690 or above45%

29,750 or above45%

29,760 or above41%

29,780 or above37%

29,790 or above37%

29,770 or above35%

29,800 or above34%

29,820 or above31%

29,830 or above29%

29,870 or above20%

29,910 or above15%

29,900 or above11%

29,970 or above10%

29,990 or above9%

29,980 or above8%

29,950 or above7%

29,960 or above7%

30,000 or above7%

30,010 or above7%

30,020 or above7%

30,030 or above6%

30,060 or above5%

30,040 or above4%

30,080 or above4%

30,100 or above4%

30,050 or above3%

30,070 or above3%

30,110 or above3%

30,090 or above2%

30,130 or above2%

30,140 or above2%

30,150 or above2%

30,200 or above2%

30,210 or above2%

30,220 or above2%

30,160 or above1%

30,170 or above1%

30,180 or above1%

30,190 or above1%

30,230 or above1%

30,240 or above1%

30,250 or above1%

30,260 or above1%

30,270 or above1%

30,280 or above1%

27,700 or above0%

27,710 or above0%

27,720 or above0%

27,730 or above0%

27,740 or above0%

27,750 or above0%

27,760 or above0%

27,770 or above0%

27,780 or above0%

27,790 or above0%

27,800 or above0%

27,810 or above0%

27,820 or above0%

27,830 or above0%

27,840 or above0%

27,850 or above0%

27,860 or above0%

27,870 or above0%

27,880 or above0%

27,890 or above0%

27,900 or above0%

27,910 or above0%

27,920 or above0%

27,930 or above0%

27,940 or above0%

27,950 or above0%

27,960 or above0%

27,970 or above0%

27,980 or above0%

27,990 or above0%

28,000 or above0%

28,010 or above0%

28,020 or above0%

28,030 or above0%

28,040 or above0%

28,050 or above0%

28,060 or above0%

28,070 or above0%

28,080 or above0%

28,090 or above0%

28,100 or above0%

28,110 or above0%

28,120 or above0%

28,130 or above0%

28,140 or above0%

28,150 or above0%

28,160 or above0%

28,170 or above0%

28,180 or above0%

28,190 or above0%

28,200 or above0%

28,210 or above0%

28,220 or above0%

28,230 or above0%

28,240 or above0%

28,250 or above0%

28,260 or above0%

28,270 or above0%

28,280 or above0%

28,290 or above0%

28,300 or above0%

28,310 or above0%

28,320 or above0%

28,330 or above0%

28,340 or above0%

28,350 or above0%

28,360 or above0%

28,370 or above0%

28,380 or above0%

28,390 or above0%

28,400 or above0%

28,410 or above0%

28,420 or above0%

28,430 or above0%

28,440 or above0%

28,450 or above0%

28,460 or above0%

28,470 or above0%

28,480 or above0%

28,490 or above0%

28,500 or above0%

28,510 or above0%

28,520 or above0%

28,530 or above0%

28,540 or above0%

28,550 or above0%

28,560 or above0%

28,570 or above0%

28,580 or above0%

28,590 or above0%

28,600 or above0%

28,610 or above0%

28,620 or above0%

28,630 or above0%

28,640 or above0%

28,650 or above0%

28,660 or above0%

28,670 or above0%

28,680 or above0%

28,690 or above0%

28,700 or above0%

28,710 or above0%

28,720 or above0%

28,730 or above0%

28,740 or above0%

28,750 or above0%

28,760 or above0%

28,770 or above0%

28,780 or above0%

28,790 or above0%

28,800 or above0%

28,810 or above0%

28,820 or above0%

28,830 or above0%

28,840 or above0%

28,850 or above0%

28,860 or above0%

28,870 or above0%

28,880 or above0%

28,890 or above0%

28,900 or above0%

28,910 or above0%

28,920 or above0%

28,930 or above0%

28,940 or above0%

28,950 or above0%

28,960 or above0%

28,970 or above0%

28,980 or above0%

28,990 or above0%

29,000 or above0%

29,010 or above0%

29,020 or above0%

29,030 or above0%

29,040 or above0%

29,050 or above0%

29,060 or above0%

29,070 or above0%

29,080 or above0%

29,090 or above0%

29,100 or above0%

29,110 or above0%

29,120 or above0%

29,130 or above0%

29,140 or above0%

29,160 or above0%

29,170 or above0%

29,180 or above0%

29,190 or above0%

29,200 or above0%

29,210 or above0%

29,220 or above0%

29,230 or above0%

29,240 or above0%

29,250 or above0%

29,260 or above0%

29,270 or above0%

29,280 or above0%

29,290 or above0%

29,310 or above0%

29,320 or above0%

29,330 or above0%

29,350 or above0%

29,360 or above0%

29,370 or above0%

29,810 or above0%

29,840 or above0%

29,850 or above0%

29,860 or above0%

29,880 or above0%

29,890 or above0%

29,920 or above0%

29,930 or above0%

29,940 or above0%

30,120 or above0%

30,290 or above0%

30,300 or above0%

30,310 or above0%

30,320 or above0%

30,330 or above0%

30,340 or above0%

30,350 or above0%

30,360 or above0%

30,370 or above0%

30,380 or above0%

30,390 or above0%

30,400 or above0%

30,410 or above0%

30,420 or above0%

30,430 or above0%

30,440 or above0%

30,450 or above0%

30,460 or above0%

30,470 or above0%

30,480 or above0%

30,490 or above0%

30,500 or above0%

30,510 or above0%

30,520 or above0%

30,530 or above0%

30,540 or above0%

30,550 or above0%

30,560 or above0%

30,570 or above0%

30,580 or above0%

30,590 or above0%

30,600 or above0%

30,610 or above0%

30,620 or above0%

30,630 or above0%

30,640 or above0%

30,650 or above0%

30,660 or above0%

30,670 or above0%

30,680 or above0%

30,690 or above0%

30,700 or above0%

30,710 or above0%

30,720 or above0%

30,730 or above0%

30,740 or above0%

30,750 or above0%

30,760 or above0%

30,770 or above0%

30,780 or above0%

30,790 or above0%

30,800 or above0%

30,810 or above0%

30,820 or above0%

30,830 or above0%

30,840 or above0%

30,850 or above0%

30,860 or above0%

30,870 or above0%

30,880 or above0%

30,890 or above0%

30,900 or above0%

30,910 or above0%

30,920 or above0%

30,930 or above0%

30,940 or above0%

30,950 or above0%

30,960 or above0%

30,970 or above0%

30,980 or above0%

30,990 or above0%

31,000 or above0%

31,010 or above0%

31,020 or above0%

31,030 or above0%

31,040 or above0%

31,050 or above0%

31,060 or above0%

31,070 or above0%

31,080 or above0%

31,090 or above0%

31,100 or above0%

31,110 or above0%

31,120 or above0%

31,130 or above0%

31,140 or above0%

31,150 or above0%

31,160 or above0%

31,170 or above0%

31,180 or above0%

31,190 or above0%

31,200 or above0%

31,210 or above0%

31,220 or above0%

31,230 or above0%

31,240 or above0%

31,250 or above0%

31,260 or above0%

31,270 or above0%

31,280 or above0%

31,290 or above0%

31,300 or above0%

31,310 or above0%

31,320 or above0%

31,330 or above0%

31,340 or above0%

31,350 or above0%

31,360 or above0%

31,370 or above0%

31,380 or above0%

31,390 or above0%

31,400 or above0%

31,410 or above0%

31,420 or above0%

31,430 or above0%

31,440 or above0%

31,450 or above0%

31,460 or above0%

31,470 or above0%

31,480 or above0%

31,490 or above0%

31,500 or above0%

31,510 or above0%

31,520 or above0%

31,530 or above0%

31,540 or above0%

31,550 or above0%

31,560 or above0%

31,570 or above0%

31,580 or above0%

31,590 or above0%

31,600 or above0%

31,610 or above0%

31,620 or above0%

31,630 or above0%

31,640 or above0%

31,650 or above0%

31,660 or above0%

31,670 or above0%

31,680 or above0%

31,690 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3199%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 84% of the time (n=129). The price implies 97%, so historically this band has come in about 13 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 29,340 or above at 97¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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