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Odds boards / Economics

Natural gas price on September 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 49 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼69Biggest move: Above $1.299 down to 30% recently.
1
Above $0.99999%
2
Above $1.09999%
3
Above $1.39999%
4
Above $1.69999%
5
Above $1.99999%
6
Above $2.09999%
7
Above $1.199▼198%
8
Above $1.499▼198%
9
Above $1.599▼198%
10
Above $2.59997%
11
Above $2.19996%
12
Above $2.39996%
13
Above $2.49996%
14
Above $2.799▲1192%
15
Above $2.899▲869%
16
Above $1.899▼6732%
17
Above $1.799▼6831%
18
Above $1.299▼6930%
19
Above $2.999▼724%
20
Above $3.099▼111%
21
Above $3.1996%
22
Above $0.0990%
23
Above $0.1990%
24
Above $0.2990%
25
Above $0.3990%
26
Above $0.4990%
27
Above $0.5990%
28
Above $0.6990%
29
Above $0.7990%
30
Above $0.8990%
31
Above $2.2990%
32
Above $2.6990%
33
Above $3.2990%
34
Above $3.3990%
35
Above $3.4990%
36
Above $3.5990%
37
Above $3.6990%
38
Above $3.7990%
39
Above $3.8990%
40
Above $3.9990%
41
Above $4.0990%
42
Above $4.1990%
43
Above $4.2990%
44
Above $4.3990%
45
Above $4.4990%
46
Above $4.5990%
47
Above $4.6990%
48
Above $4.7990%
49
Above $4.8990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1568%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $0.999 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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