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Louisville vs Ole Miss: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 31 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼4Biggest move: Ole Miss wins by over 24.5 points down to 9% recently.
1
Ole Miss wins by over 1.5 points▲169%
2
Ole Miss wins by over 2.5 points▼165%
3
Ole Miss wins by over 3.5 points▲260%
4
Ole Miss wins by over 4.5 points58%
5
Ole Miss wins by over 5.5 points55%
6
Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points▲253%
7
Ole Miss wins by over 9.5 points43%
8
Ole Miss wins by over 7.5 points42%
9
Ole Miss wins by over 10.5 points▲238%
10
Ole Miss wins by over 11.5 points36%
11
Ole Miss wins by over 13.5 points33%
12
Ole Miss wins by over 14.5 points▲130%
13
Louisville wins by over 2.5 points▲329%
14
Ole Miss wins by over 16.5 points▼126%
15
Louisville wins by over 1.5 points▼226%
16
Ole Miss wins by over 17.5 points▼321%
17
Louisville wins by over 3.5 points▲121%
18
Louisville wins by over 4.5 points19%
19
Ole Miss wins by over 20.5 points18%
20
Louisville wins by over 5.5 points▼217%
21
Ole Miss wins by over 21.5 points▼116%
22
Ole Miss wins by over 23.5 points13%
23
Louisville wins by over 10.5 points13%
24
Ole Miss wins by over 24.5 points▼49%
25
Ole Miss wins by over 27.5 points7%
26
Louisville wins by over 6.5 points0%
27
Louisville wins by over 7.5 points0%
28
Louisville wins by over 9.5 points0%
29
Louisville wins by over 11.5 points0%
30
Louisville wins by over 13.5 points0%
31
Louisville wins by over 14.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 817%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
69¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
65¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 64.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 69c. Based on 873 settled sports markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 60–69¢ have gone on to settle YES 63% of the time (n=1,323). The price implies 69%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Ole Miss wins by over 1.5 points at 69¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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