Odds boards / Sports

UNLV vs Hawai'i: Total Points

Live Kalshi odds · 21 outcomesMultiple can happen
43Biggest move: Over 45.5 points scored down to 35% recently.
1
Over 33.5 points scored82%
2
Over 36.5 points scored75%
3
Over 39.5 points scored59%
4
Over 30.5 points scored58%
5
Over 42.5 points scored47%
6
Over 45.5 points scored4335%
7
Over 48.5 points scored27%
8
Over 51.5 points scored24%
9
Over 55.5 points scored3415%
10
Over 66.5 points scored14%
11
Over 54.5 points scored13%
12
Over 57.5 points scored3211%
13
Over 56.5 points scored389%
14
Over 58.5 points scored328%
15
Over 60.5 points scored8%
16
Over 59.5 points scored335%
17
Over 63.5 points scored302%
18
Over 69.5 points scored2%
19
Over 72.5 points scored1%
20
Over 75.5 points scored1%
21
Over 78.5 points scored1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 497%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
82¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
85¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 85.2% of the time, and the crowd is charging 82c. Based on 532 settled sports markets in the 80-89c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 8089¢ have gone on to settle YES 85% of the time (n=720). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Over 33.5 points scored at 82¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNCAAFTOTAL-26SEP05UNLVHAW">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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