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Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2

Live Kalshi odds · 9 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 8.5 TWh93%
2
Above 9 TWh84%
3
Above 9.5 TWh82%
4
Above 10 TWh74%
5
Above 10.5 TWh50%
6
Above 11 TWh38%
7
Above 11.5 TWh26%
8
Above 12.5 TWh17%
9
Above 12 TWh15%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 479%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 93%, so historically this band has come in about 13 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 8.5 TWh at 93¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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