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EV commodity prices on Aug 14, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 1166.7399%
2
Above 1186.7398%
3
Above 1196.7398%
4
Above 1176.7396%
5
Above 1206.7393%
6
Above 1216.7385%
7
Above 1236.7338%
8
Above 1246.7324%
9
Above 1276.733%
10
Above 1286.733%
11
Above 1256.732%
12
Above 1266.731%
13
Above 1296.731%
14
Above 1306.731%
15
Above 1226.730%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 642%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 87% of the time (n=238). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 12 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 1166.73 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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