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EV commodity prices on Sep 1, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 1191.2499%
2
Above 1201.2499%
3
Above 1171.2498%
4
Above 1181.2498%
5
Above 1211.2498%
6
Above 1221.2496%
7
Above 1231.2441%
8
Above 1311.2420%
9
Above 1251.242%
10
Above 1261.242%
11
Above 1241.241%
12
Above 1271.241%
13
Above 1281.241%
14
Above 1291.241%
15
Above 1301.241%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 658%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 1191.24 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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