What are the current odds for What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America??

NYPD / FDNY 90%, Tunnel to Towers 84%, Hottest 54%, Democrat 54%, Invest / Invested / Investment 42%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen

Invest / Invested / Investment42%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline42%

Made in America / American Made40%

National Security38%

Manufacturing37%

Communist / Communism37%

Mental Institution23%

AI / Artificial Intelligence22%

Golden Age22%

Iran (3+ times)21%

Stock Market21%

Barack Hussein Obama20%

Zohran / Mamdani18%

Afford / Affordable / Affordability18%

Save America Act15%

Ceasefire10%

Event does not qualify4%

Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin2%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 982%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

90¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

92¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

+1¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 92.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 90c. Based on 721 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough politics history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the politics curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, NYPD / FDNY at 90¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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