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What companies will Trump say in September?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Nvidia / NVDA99%
2
Amazon / AMZN99%
3
X / Twitter99%
4
Fox News95%
5
CNN94%
6
New York Times / NYT92%
7
MS NOW / MSNBC89%
8
Chevron / CVX84%
9
Dell83%
10
Turning Point83%
11
Intel / INTC81%
12
Google / GOOG / GOOGL81%
13
Boeing79%
14
BBC78%
15
Apple / AAPL77%
16
Eli Lilly / LLY77%
17
General Motors / GM72%
18
ExxonMobil / XOM71%
19
TikTok70%
20
Toyota69%
21
Uber68%
22
ChatGPT / OpenAI64%
23
AMD64%
24
Paramount / PSKY59%
25
Micron / MU58%
26
Pfizer / PFE56%
27
Meta53%
28
Caterpillar42%
29
TSMC / TSM41%
30
SpaceX / SPCX36%
31
Anthropic / Claude35%
32
BlackRock33%
33
Oracle / ORCL29%
34
Hyundai / HYMTF26%
35
Tesla / TSLA20%
36
eBay16%
37
Verizon12%
38
Airbnb / ABNB0%
39
Deere0%
40
Microsoft / MSFT0%
41
DoorDash / DASH0%
42
Rigetti / RGTI0%
43
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz0%
44
Honda / HMC0%
45
Qualcomm / QCOM0%
46
Mastercard / MA0%
47
IBM0%
48
UFC0%
49
JPMorgan / JPM0%
50
Netflix / NFLX0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2384%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Nvidia / NVDA at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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